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Recent Articles

Dec 11, 2024

10 Minute Read

Challenges and solutions in quantifying risks in private markets

The risk of equities and bonds is made obvious by historical time series, but what about private equity, private debt or venture capital?

Nov 11, 2024

7 Minute Read

Qu'est-ce que l'« Initiative pour l'avenir » ?

L'initiative pour l'avenir propose un impôt fédéral de 50 % sur les héritages et les donations de plus de 50 millions de francs suisses pour financer des actions en faveur de l'écologie. Quelles sont ses chances de succès ?

Aug 30, 2024

10 minutes read

Investing in mean reversion works, but the devil is in the detail

Mean reverting behaviour has been observable in major stock markets for decades. Our article looks at why this is the case and how it can be exploited by investors.

Jun 21, 2024

6 Minute Read

Challenging the case for investing in India

What's not to like as an investor in an emerging economic superpower? This question has prompted us to take a critical look at the Indian economy under Modi and the stock market in particular.

May 3, 2024

7 Minute Read

How much risk-taking is required to beat inflation?

Can risk-free deposits and government bonds alone shield an estate from a gradual decline in purchasing power, or is buying equities a must? We took a dive into the data.

Mar 28, 2024

8 Minute Read

Q1 2024 Capital Market Assumptions

What return can reasonably be expected from a given multi-asset portfolio in the medium to long term? The answer depends on various factors like aggregate valuation ratios and interest rates. Here are our latest assumptions.

Feb 29, 2024

10 Minute Read

Is private debt worth the fees?

Private debt is a booming asset class, but as always in the private markets, opacity makes it difficult for investors to understand what they are really exposed to. Our article tries to shed some light on the subject.

Jan 22, 2024

4 Minute Read

European life insurance at the Swiss border

As part of our collaborative publications, we are pleased to share with you an article on European life insurance at the Swiss border. This article was written by Mr. Pierre-Olivier Kramer, Managing Partner of Gatsby & White SA.

Jan 5, 2024

10 Minute Read

The 2024 recap of consensus expectations

What's in stock for 2024? Following a tradition we started in 2022, we have again reviewed and summarized the market outlooks published by leading banks and asset managers.

Nov 27, 2023

5 Minute Read

Why higher rates won't spark a return of stock picking

Over the past decade, poor performance has frequently been attributed to markets "being driven by cheap money instead of fundamentals". Does this argument hold?

Nov 1, 2023

5 Minute Read

Has Quantitative Tightening killed the bull market?

The massive asset purchases by central banks post-2008 have raised questions about its impact on the stock market and the risks arising once balance sheets start to shrink.

Oct 25, 2023

6 Minute Read

Why gold is shining again

The world's oldest store of wealth has regained its sparkle over the past years in an environment characterized by high inflation and geopolitical polarization. Our article explores long-term cross-correlations and new demand drivers.

Dec 11, 2024

10 Minute Read

Challenges and solutions in quantifying risks in private markets

The risk of equities and bonds is made obvious by historical time series, but what about private equity, private debt or venture capital?

Nov 11, 2024

7 Minute Read

Qu'est-ce que l'« Initiative pour l'avenir » ?

L'initiative pour l'avenir propose un impôt fédéral de 50 % sur les héritages et les donations de plus de 50 millions de francs suisses pour financer des actions en faveur de l'écologie. Quelles sont ses chances de succès ?

Aug 30, 2024

10 minutes read

Investing in mean reversion works, but the devil is in the detail

Mean reverting behaviour has been observable in major stock markets for decades. Our article looks at why this is the case and how it can be exploited by investors.

Jun 21, 2024

6 Minute Read

Challenging the case for investing in India

What's not to like as an investor in an emerging economic superpower? This question has prompted us to take a critical look at the Indian economy under Modi and the stock market in particular.

May 3, 2024

7 Minute Read

How much risk-taking is required to beat inflation?

Can risk-free deposits and government bonds alone shield an estate from a gradual decline in purchasing power, or is buying equities a must? We took a dive into the data.

Mar 28, 2024

8 Minute Read

Q1 2024 Capital Market Assumptions

What return can reasonably be expected from a given multi-asset portfolio in the medium to long term? The answer depends on various factors like aggregate valuation ratios and interest rates. Here are our latest assumptions.

Feb 29, 2024

10 Minute Read

Is private debt worth the fees?

Private debt is a booming asset class, but as always in the private markets, opacity makes it difficult for investors to understand what they are really exposed to. Our article tries to shed some light on the subject.

Jan 22, 2024

4 Minute Read

European life insurance at the Swiss border

As part of our collaborative publications, we are pleased to share with you an article on European life insurance at the Swiss border. This article was written by Mr. Pierre-Olivier Kramer, Managing Partner of Gatsby & White SA.

Jan 5, 2024

10 Minute Read

The 2024 recap of consensus expectations

What's in stock for 2024? Following a tradition we started in 2022, we have again reviewed and summarized the market outlooks published by leading banks and asset managers.

Nov 27, 2023

5 Minute Read

Why higher rates won't spark a return of stock picking

Over the past decade, poor performance has frequently been attributed to markets "being driven by cheap money instead of fundamentals". Does this argument hold?

Nov 1, 2023

5 Minute Read

Has Quantitative Tightening killed the bull market?

The massive asset purchases by central banks post-2008 have raised questions about its impact on the stock market and the risks arising once balance sheets start to shrink.

Oct 25, 2023

6 Minute Read

Why gold is shining again

The world's oldest store of wealth has regained its sparkle over the past years in an environment characterized by high inflation and geopolitical polarization. Our article explores long-term cross-correlations and new demand drivers.

Aug 31, 2023

7 Minute Read

A '70s-like second inflation wave is still unlikely

A repeat of the double wave of inflation in the '70s is a spooky scenario. We have therefore analyzed last century's high inflation period to detect similarities and differences.

Aug 9, 2023

7 Minute Read

LP Led Secondaries - The Private Market ETF Equivalent?

How can smaller investors access private markets without being strangled by fees or betting the bank on a few concentrated positions? Buying second-hand is a solution.

Jul 6, 2023

5 Minutes Read

Do analysts predict market returns?

Data providers like Bloomberg aggregate the target prices published by sell-side analysts to derive a marketwide consensus price target. Does the wisdom of this crowd tell us something about future returns?

Jun 5, 2023

4 Minute Read

Who is afraid of the continuation fund?

So-called continuation funds have been booming, especially since M&A and IPO activity took a hit in 2022 and 2023 in the wake of choppy markets and rising interest rates. A warning signal or an opportunity?

May 9, 2023

4 Minute Read

How bad is the credit crunch and what does it mean for the stock market?

Financial conditions have worsened considerably on the back of tighter monetary policy. Is this a bad omen for equity markets? We think the 90s may hold the answer.

Mar 10, 2023

4 Minute Read

The metals supercycle is intact

The more extensive than anticipated rise in interest rates has temporarily halted the surge in commodity prices. Still, underlying demand trends meeting constrained supply are poised to continue driving a bullish secular cycle.

Jan 15, 2023

4 Minute Read

Generative AI - a productivity revolution or bullshit machine?

Only just released, ChatGPT has taken the internet by storm and drawn attention to a new breed of software writing computer codes and poems or drawing cartoons.

Dec 9, 2022

5 Minute Read

La gouvernance familiale

Pour la première fois dans une nouvelle série de publications collaboratives, nous avons le plaisir de partager avec vous un article sur le thème de la gouvernance familiale, un sujet qui nous tient à cœur.

Oct 24, 2022

3 Minute Read

Value, Growth and Interest Rates - a complicated relationship

Is Value vs Growth just a play on rates? Decomposing the drivers of relative performance into Dividends, EPS Growth and P/E Expansion yields mixed evidence.

Oct 3, 2022

5 Minute Read

The Put/Call Ratio as a contrarian market timing indicator

Do elevated levels in the Put/Call ratio precede higher equity market returns? We have tested the merits of option volumes for the timing of bottom-fishing.

Sep 28, 2022

3 Minute Read

Energy crisis: which financial opportunities?

The energy crisis is an abysmal shock for Europe, but it is also a source of opportunities. Our article explains why we anticipate oil prices to stay high in the short term while we expect renewables to be the ultimate winners eventually.

Aug 27, 2022

1 Minute Read

Amadeus Capital SA extends its team with the arrival of two new members

Amadeus Capital SA is pleased to announce that Jacques Marchand and Ygal Seban have joined to strengthen its Private Office & Wealth Management business.

Aug 15, 2022

3 Minute Read

What's up with the Great Resignation?

The labour force participation rate has recovered slower than expected post-Covid, causing shortages and soaring wages. We analyze the demographic drivers of the phenomenon in five charts.

Aug 11, 2022

1 Minute Read

Amadeus to provide research to new investment fund

After two years of successful internal testing, a global macro strategy developed by Amadeus Capital will be used for the management of the newly launched W Multi-Asset Balanced ESG.

Aug 10, 2022

7 Minute Read

Spoiled for choice - how to configure a short-put strategy?

Selling put options is a popular strategy that promises compelling returns if executed correctly. However, the right design and execution are essential.

Jul 13, 2022

5 Minute Read

Are we heading into an earnings recession?

The rare divergence between equity market performance and earnings estimates in 2022 draws attention to the complicated relationship between corporate profits and share prices. We have seen this before - in the 70s.

Jun 23, 2022

5 Minute Read

Will TIPS shield you from the inflation surge?

Inflation has become a key concern for investors worldwide. In our article, we elaborate on inflation-linked bonds and show why these instruments are not as straightforward a choice as the name suggests.

Jun 16, 2022

6 Minute Read

How accurate are the Fed's interest rate projections?

Every quarter, the FOMC publishes a set of economic projection materials, including the widely watched Dot Plot. But how much do these projections really tell us about the future path of interest rates?

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